Derby Picks 2015
Below are the starting positions and morning line odds for the 141st Kentucky Derby. My thoughts are that Dortmund got the better draw than Bob Baffert’s other top contender American Pharoah. American Pharoah will have a longer trip starting on the outside. So I would lean towards Dortmund as the race winner. Dortmund stumbled out of the gate in the Santa Anita Derby and he won’t be able to do that in this field. I will probably place a 8-18 Boxed Exacta to be safe.
- He will be entered into the Los Alamitos Derby on July 4th. 7) Constitution– Winner of 4 out 6 career starts which includes the Donn Handicap earlier in the year. Currently tied with Shared Belief for the Top Beyer Speed Figure in 2015 for races longer than a mile with a speed figure of 111. He has never raced longer than a 1 1/8th mile.
- May 01, 2015 Saturday’s Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs has a field of 20, but oddsmakers are insisting this is a two-horse race between favorite American Pharoah (5-2 odds) and second choice Dortmund (3-1.
Some potential sleeper picks are Firing Line, Materiality and the Irish horse Mubtaahij. Mubtaahij won the UAE Derby at 1 3/16 ths mile handily with a time of 1:58.35. You can see this race by clicking HERE. So he was raced at a longer distance than any of the other entrants. I would consider him for your Superfecta but foreign horses usually don’t fare well in the Kentucky Derby.
Apr 26, 2015 2015 Kentucky Derby picks and preview. John Gregg Expert. 25th April, 2015. A Set small text size A Set the default text size A Set large text size. 10 Join the conversation. Kentucky Derby 2015 Contenders. Get Derby Picks - CRUSH THE DERBY! BET THE DERBY, GET $150 FREE! Play the $25,000 DERBY DAY CONTEST!
The Kentucky Derby is an extremely difficult race to handicap with such a large field. There are always surprises. So I would probably place a combination of small trifecta and superfecta straight bets. If you want a big payout, throw some longshots in your superfectas that have great jockeys. Hitting a superfecta with this large of field is pure luck. War Story at 30/1 with Mike Smith as his jockey looks to be a good horse to throw into a Superfecta.
Firing Line starts in Gate 10, the winningest post position for the Kentucky Derby so I would him consider for your Superfecta. I may place a win bet of him too since he is 12/1 odds. I also kind of like a 8-18-10 Boxed Trifecta.
Gate 1: Ocho Ocho Ocho – 50/1
Gate 2: Carpe Diem – 8/1
Gate 3: Materiality – 12/1
Gate 4: Tencendur – 30/1
Gate 5: Danzig Moon – 30/1
Gate 6: Mubtaahij – 20/1
Gate 7: El Kabeir – 30/1
Gate 8: Dortmund – 3/1
Gate 9: Bolo – 30/1
Gate 10: Firing Line – 12/1
Gate 11: Stanford – 30/1
Gate 12: International Star – 20/1
Gate 13: Itsaknockout – 30/1
Gate 14: Keen Ice – 50/1
Gate 15: Frosted – 15/1
Gate 16: War Story – 50/1
Gate 17: Mr. Z – 50/1
Gate 18: American Pharoah – 5/2
Gate 19: Upstart – 15/1
Gate 20: Far Right – 30/1
–Michael
If you’re a bettor, this is the place to read about the sleeper of the Kentucky Derby. Expect for everyone to bet on Bob Baffert’s two horses Dortmund and American Pharoah , leaving room to make money on horses besides the top two. The only horse to give these two a challenge is Simon Callaghan’s Firing Line. His experience in the prep races with Dormund is going to be valuable, and there is no better jockey than Gary Stevens to help guide him to the winners circle. Like last year, the West Coast horses will be the favorites. Here are our top 3 horses of the Kentucky Derby
Derby Picks 2020
American Pharoah (SHOW): American Pharoah will head into the Derby as the morning line favorite at 5-2 with Victor Espinoza on board. Espinoza will look for his second-straight Derby win and trainer Bob Baffert will look for his first win at the Run for the Roses since 2002, where he won it with War Emblem, who was also ridden by Espinoza. American Pharoah has left no doubt that he will be the clear favorite by post time. The only obstacle he will have is history. Not one horse coming out of the No. 17 spot has ever won the Derby. American Pharoah is No. 18, but since Stanford scratched, he will come out of No. 17 spot. Pharaoh will need to come out clean off the gate to get near the rail after the first furlong. He hasn’t had to battle too much, especially after a romp in the Arkansas Derby. This time, he’ll be challenge by the best 3-year-olds in the country.
Derby Picks 2015 Week
Dortmund (PLACE): The massive colt Dortmund will look to follow the steps of his sire Big Brown (2008 winner) by winning the 2015 Kentucky Derby. Dortmund has been on a tear, winning all six of his races, including four graded stakes. At the Santa Anita Derby, Dortmund had no challenge whatsoever, but in the two races before the Santa Anita Derby, he had to battle our top pick of the Kentucky Derby, Firing Line. In Las Vegas, people are betting heavily on Dortmund to finish on top of the 2015 Kentucky Derby.
Derby Picks 2015 Results
Firing Line (WIN): Third time is a charm! Trained by Simon Callaghan, Firing Line will upset both American Pharoah and Dortmund at the 141 Kentucky Derby. We don’t understand how the only horse who has given Dortmund a challenge is at 12-to-1. In their past two meetings, Firing Line lost to Dormtund by less than a length. People are going to bet on both the favorites so much that Firing Line might get a very attractive price at 20-to-1 or more! To back up this horse even more, Gary Stevens will get the mount. You couldn’t ask for a better jockey for the 3-year-old. Stevens has more experience than any other jockey entered at the Derby. “A lot of these guys weren’t even born when I won my first Kentucky Derby,” said Stevens. If he wins this race with Firing Line, the story lines of a potential Triple Crown will be endless. For the money, it is too hard to not bet on Firing Line.